Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000205 0.000230 0.000256 0.000285 0.000318 0.000354 0.000396
2025-03-02 0.000167 0.000199 0.000235 0.000280 0.000333 0.000394 0.000470
2025-03-09 0.000141 0.000178 0.000222 0.000278 0.000349 0.000436 0.000549
2025-03-16 0.000123 0.000162 0.000211 0.000278 0.000366 0.000479 0.000634
2025-03-23 0.000108 0.000149 0.000203 0.000279 0.000384 0.000523 0.000723
2025-03-30 0.000096 0.000138 0.000194 0.000277 0.000396 0.000561 0.000807
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000129 0.000189 0.000279 0.000414 0.000607 0.000905
2025-04-13 0.000079 0.000121 0.000183 0.000280 0.000429 0.000649 0.001002
2025-04-20 0.000071 0.000113 0.000175 0.000276 0.000436 0.000681 0.001085
2025-04-27 0.000068 0.000110 0.000176 0.000285 0.000464 0.000745 0.001223
2025-05-04 0.000063 0.000106 0.000174 0.000290 0.000485 0.000800 0.001351
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000102 0.000171 0.000293 0.000503 0.000851 0.001476
2025-05-18 0.000054 0.000096 0.000166 0.000292 0.000515 0.000895 0.001597
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000090 0.000159 0.000287 0.000520 0.000928 0.001701
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000085 0.000154 0.000286 0.000531 0.000971 0.001828
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000081 0.000150 0.000286 0.000544 0.001020 0.001971
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000077 0.000147 0.000287 0.000560 0.001075 0.002129
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000074 0.000143 0.000285 0.000569 0.001118 0.002268
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000071 0.000141 0.000287 0.000586 0.001178 0.002446
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000068 0.000138 0.000288 0.000601 0.001233 0.002619
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000064 0.000134 0.000284 0.000606 0.001269 0.002756
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000064 0.000135 0.000293 0.000639 0.001367 0.003033
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000062 0.000135 0.000298 0.000664 0.001447 0.003280